Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 91853.229530 96863.856509 101869.300922 107241.312255 112839.994115 118499.390700 124649.012437
2025-02-02 84801.299842 92572.737889 100548.466778 109334.871313 118731.657986 128468.999998 139310.923401
2025-02-09 79091.547323 88739.819126 98854.610961 110226.823606 122633.777344 135736.106486 150595.856898
2025-02-16 73990.204233 84972.063401 96693.763407 110099.447123 124968.806546 140918.204215 159280.998208
2025-02-23 70255.145664 82340.688769 95443.712814 110651.515203 127760.490263 146357.114105 168041.564541
2025-03-02 66781.827383 79736.112967 93982.039460 110737.654166 129829.043710 150827.146356 175589.186973
2025-03-09 64537.704831 78355.246593 93745.504309 112062.989094 133170.496888 156629.256519 184567.775068
2025-03-16 61424.349930 75800.303613 92012.171477 111529.913776 134265.386817 159786.485511 190468.418636
2025-03-23 59897.016250 74998.953894 92218.451490 113160.780347 137789.649358 165678.833066 199484.344315
2025-03-30 58143.866624 73834.766907 91917.022021 114123.727010 140478.561508 170571.158075 207332.391067
2025-04-06 56144.892337 72284.114894 91076.951975 114375.522146 142270.836933 174378.237632 213894.632708
2025-04-13 54155.925972 70662.178883 90076.636128 114366.432029 143695.753294 177713.175324 219879.469176
2025-04-20 53330.104840 70457.774734 90792.392057 116449.216715 147671.972439 184141.163889 229642.241784
2025-04-27 52496.638748 70207.916732 91428.176272 118423.150914 151523.586480 190449.317732 239320.848322
2025-05-04 51180.510812 69300.257096 91211.346778 119316.774138 154041.382607 195155.501660 247098.584891
2025-05-11 49437.278736 67789.754015 90191.638294 119168.400999 155244.711191 198251.972576 252928.646164
2025-05-18 48147.212328 66809.954320 89792.419046 119754.170564 157324.015778 202396.876572 260033.528466
2025-05-25 46700.391996 65578.020267 89030.885202 119845.392239 158758.987951 205737.717924 266156.515704
2025-06-01 45933.823818 65201.598166 89330.852556 121257.915156 161833.767805 211095.359641 274775.190824
2025-06-08 44327.531815 63670.948349 88107.295312 120689.714395 162385.703627 213316.431121 279519.094820
2025-06-15 43803.584237 63555.114423 88692.518930 122427.844699 165851.500071 219164.714592 288786.375073
2025-06-22 43004.241285 63042.744518 88739.333561 123453.984865 168403.700306 223877.695336 296661.779871
2025-06-29 41926.720156 62121.733667 88221.981203 123722.286839 169968.921457 227346.753470 302989.400426